Decisionmaking for the future depends on anticipating change. And anticipating change is becoming increasingly difficult. How does a person make good decisions in the face of mounting uncertainty? What if that person is a CEO, legislator, prime minister, military general, or even the President?

This week’s guest on the show, Dr. Steven Popper, Ph.D. is a Senior Economist at the RAND Corporation who is an expert in, among many things, the science of decision making under deep uncertainty.

As associate director of the Science and Technology Policy Institute FFRDC (federally funded research & development center), Popper provided analytic support to the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy and other Executive Branch agencies.

His current work is on decision making under deep uncertainty, science and technology policy, multi-stakeholder strategic decision processes, foresight and future studies, and security planning. He coauthored the flagship study of the RAND Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition, Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis (2003), which provides a methodological framework for decision making under deep uncertainty that has been applied to an expanding set of policy issues as Robust Decision Making (RDM). His research also focuses on regional economic development and international economics. He has served as a consultant to the World Bank and OECD, and is a Senior Fellow at the Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI).

Oh, and just like Benny, Steven is a member of the ‘Frozen Chosen’, hailing originally from the suburbs of Minneapolis, Minnesota.


Steven’s official page at the RAND Corporation

A selection of Steven’s publications and commentary

Steven’s LinkedIn

Buy Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis, a flagship study co-authored by Steven Popper on

Visit the website of the DC-based Science and Technology Policy Institute, where Steven is an associate director

Visit the website of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, where Steven provided analytic support

Visit the Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI), where Steven is a Senior Fellow

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